PECOTA Projections from Baseball Prospectus

[catman]

PECOTA Standings from Baseball Prospectus

www.baseballprospectus.com

AL East	Sim W	Sim L	Div %	Playoff %	Playoff % adj
New York Yankees	99.0	63.0	89.1	97.5	94.0
Tampa Bay Rays	87.3	74.7	7.6	50.8	29.5
Boston Red Sox	84.5	77.5	3.2	28.5	15.4
Toronto Blue Jays	76.6	85.4	0.1	3.0	1.3
Baltimore Orioles	62.9	99.1	0.0	0.1	0.0

AL Central	Sim W	Sim L	Div %	Playoff %	Playoff % adj
Minnesota Twins	93.4	68.6	77.4	89.2	83.7
Cleveland Indians	86.1	75.9	16.7	41.4	28.6
Chicago White Sox	82.5	79.5	5.9	18.1	11.5
Detroit Tigers	69.2	92.8	0.0	0.0	0.0
Kansas City Royals	67.8	94.2	0.0	0.1	0.0

AL West	Sim W	Sim L	Div %	Playoff %	Playoff % adj
Houston Astros	98.3	63.7	88.4	96.9	93.3
Los Angeles Angels	86.8	75.2	7.5	45.6	26.6
Oakland Athletics	84.6	77.4	4.1	27.9	15.6
Texas Rangers	73.0	89.0	0.0	0.7	0.0
Seattle Mariners	66.0	96.0	0.0	0.0	0.0

 

[catman]

NL East	Sim W	Sim L	Div %	Playoff %	Playoff % adj
New York Mets	87.8	74.2	47.8	75.3	63.1
Washington Nationals	87.1	74.9	37.7	69.0	54.7
Atlanta Braves	82.8	79.2	12.3	38.4	25.1
Philadelphia Phillies	76.8	85.2	1.9	8.9	5.1
Miami Marlins	71.3	90.7	0.2	1.4	0.2

NL Central	Sim W	Sim L	Div %	Playoff %	Playoff % adj
Cincinnati Reds	86.1	75.9	47.3	66.2	57.1
Chicago Cubs	84.5	77.5	32.6	51.5	42.3
St. Louis Cardinals	80.3	81.7	9.7	24.4	16.5
Milwaukee Brewers	79.4	82.6	9.7	20.3	14.6
Pittsburgh Pirates	70.3	91.7	0.6	1.4	0.9

NL West	Sim W	Sim L	Div %	Playoff %	Playoff % adj
Los Angeles Dodgers	102.5	59.5	99.9	99.9	99.9
San Diego Padres	79.3	82.7	0.1	18.5	8.7
Arizona Diamondbacks	78.9	83.1	0	15.8	7.4
Colorado Rockies	76.6	85.4	0	8.4	3.8
San Francisco Giants	68.4	93.6	0.0	0.2	0.1

 

[catman]

Obviously these were made prior to injuries to a couple of key pitchers.

 

[Shaggy]

So they think the Padres will be above thenl Dbacks? Wow!

 

[catman]

Honestly, I could see both the D'Backs and Padres above .500 and the Dodgers not win 100 games.