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PND SZN
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I pretty much agree with him in terms of how he ranks the top half. After that everyone has different opinions.1. Anthony Davis, Kentucky Wildcats
Davis is the best prospect in this draft and a "once in a decade" talent. His length, athleticism and stunning defensive range alone make him the top selection. Add in his tremendous hands, offensive potential and his selfless attitude, and you have a winner.
2. Bradley Beal, Florida Gators
Beal is likened to Ray Allen, even though he shot only 34 percent from 3-point range as a freshman. But Beal shot the ball better in the last half of the season, including better than 43 percent from deep in the last six games. Allen also shot his lowest percentage as a college freshman at UConn. Beal is athletic, efficient and can defend and rebound. He needs work on his handle, but he's a really good prospect.
3. Michael Kidd-Gilchrist, Kentucky
The only thing you can complain about with MKG is his shooting mechanics. He doesn't square his body to the target or release it on the way up, and he does not have a natural, repeating stroke with a consistent release point. So what? You are not drafting this guy for offense. He is long, athletic, defensively versatile and absolutely relentless. He can guard anyone and is great in transition and attacking the rim. If his shot improves, great. If not, he is still worthy of this ranking.
4. Thomas Robinson, Kansas Jayhawks
Robinson has started for only one season at Kansas, and his outstanding per-minute averages did not go down a bit when his minutes more than doubled. He is a prototype power forward who can face up, post deep, move his feet on ball-screen action and rebound at a really high rate. His post game is not refined, and he is not a passer, but he is productive and should continue to improve. He may not be a superstar, but he will be a productive workhorse.
5. Harrison Barnes, North Carolina Tar Heels
In high school, I thought Barnes was super athletic and always made the right play. In college, I questioned his athleticism and his basketball IQ. Well, I am doubling down on Barnes because I think he will be a better pro than a college player. He is an outstanding jump shooter, really good at midrange and incredibly athletic with potential at both ends. Barnes is a thinker who is process-oriented, but with more time to work on his game, I like him better as a pro. And he was a heck of a college player, notwithstanding the super high expectations.
6. Andre Drummond, Connecticut Huskies
Size, athleticism, length and impressive "measurables" make Drummond a man of intrigue in this draft. You hear both Dwight Howard and Kwame Brown when his name is mentioned. Drummond's future depends on one thing -- his internal drive. If he works and is passionate about his game and development, he can be really good. If not, he can fail to live up to his potential. He lacks offensive polish and does not make free throws. But he is a freak athlete who can block shots, rebound and finish around the goal. He really moves his feet and can really run. Drummond could make you look really smart or get you canned.
7. Jeremy Lamb, Connecticut
Lamb is a scorer and shooter with really good athleticism and length. He is a good defender and can get his own shot and get it off over size with his long arms and high release. Lamb is not a passer and does not get to the free throw line as much as he should, but he is good in transition and has terrific ability.
8. Damian Lillard, Weber State Wildcats
Lillard has great tools as a scorer, including explosive athleticism and a will to improve. He is a terrific shooter from range, does a great job in transition and can really attack the lane and get to the free throw line. Whether he can be a point guard is the real question. Lillard is not a great passer or decision-maker, and he needs to better see the game, especially off of ball screens. He is, however, the best point guard prospect in this draft.
9. Dion Waiters, Syracuse Orange
Waiters is an attack guard who is terrific in transition, a powerful driver and an aggressive scorer. His body, strength and attack mentality make him a weapon, especially on the offensive end. Even though Waiters played mostly in Jim Boeheim's zone, I believe he will be a good defender in the NBA.
10. Perry Jones III, Baylor Bears
If you are old enough or watched Nickelodeon as a kid, you will recall Greg Brady's foray into music when he was selected to be the next Johnny Bravo because he "fit the suit." Jones is Johnny Bravo. He has the size, athleticism, tools, skills and look that makes him fit the NBA suit. There is only one question about Jones: Is he tough enough and does he have the inner drive to do it under the brightest lights? He is still really young in the game and is worth the risk. He has upside and is a terrific kid.
11. Austin Rivers, Duke Blue Devils
Rivers is really good with the ball, breaks down defenders without the need for a ball screen and can get by most anyone. With tremendous quickness, especially when the ball is in his hands, Rivers can get the ball to the rim in a hurry, and he has great instincts to score. He is 6-foot-5 and has a terrific competitive spirit. He gets some heat for being cocky, but what really good player is not confident to the point of cockiness? He is good defensively and accepts challenges of guarding the best perimeter players, and he gets to the free throw line at a high rate. Can Rivers play point in the NBA? I think he can, but he needs to learn to play without the ball.
12. Tyler Zeller, North Carolina
Zeller has a skill that sets him apart from any big man in this draft, and the vast majority of big men in the NBA: He can really run the floor. Zeller's ability to change ends puts tremendous pressure on opposing big men. Zeller is a good post defender who breaks contact to get deflections and rebounds at a really high rate. He needs to better hold position down low, but he is strong and has a good frame. He has a nice touch, hits a trail jumper and knocks down his free throws.
13. Jared Sullinger, Ohio State Buckeyes
Sullinger is not tall, but he is really long and uses his big body well around the paint. He rebounds very well but is not a shot-blocker or shot-changer. Sullinger is not a great athlete and, in fact, tested at the bottom among prospects at the NBA draft combine, which was not a surprise. His level of success in the NBA will depend upon his ability to hit a face-up jumper to 20 feet, which he improved upon last season.
14. John Henson, North Carolina
Henson was projected as a small forward coming out of high school, but it seems that power forward is his best spot. He has freaky length and can block shots and rebound, and his offensive game has improved to the point of being able to hit a face-up shot to 17 feet or so. He is unorthodox and does not carry a lot of bulk, but his length, shot-blocking ability and rebounding make him a very good prospect.
15. Meyers Leonard, Illinois Fighting Illini
Leonard is a true 7-footer who is very athletic, blocks shots, can step out and shoot or drive and has a really nice offensive skill set. Leonard is still very young in the game and improved greatly last season. The only question about Leonard is his toughness. There are times he settles and doesn't go into contact and use his size and strength. He does not rebound at a high rate, and he needs to fight harder for post position on both ends of the floor. That said, Leonard is a fine prospect who has terrific potential as an NBA center.
16. Terrence Jones, Kentucky
Jones is a lefty who is athletic, very strong and has improved his rebounding and toughness during the past year. He has a really good frame, can drive it past an opposing big and can step away and knock down a perimeter jumper. Like most players with size and skills, the only question marks have to do with consistency.
17. Arnett Moultrie, Mississippi State Bulldogs
Moultrie is a really good rebounder with length and size who has improved every year. He has a nice touch and improved his free throw shooting, which speaks very well of him and is an indicator he will continue to work on his weaknesses. Moultrie has athleticism and mobility, and most impressive is his willingness to move without the ball and willingness to do the dirty work. He played on a dysfunctional team and didn't always have the best body language, but he has ability.
18. Kendall Marshall, North Carolina
Marshall is a left-hander with extraordinary vision, passing ability and leadership. He has good size but lacks foot speed and the ability to get by people off the dribble. Marshall is not a great shooter or scorer but is excellent in transition, and his teammates run because he will find them. He averaged almost 10 assists per game but did not score efficiently. He can hit a wide-open standstill jumper but is not a driver or penetrator. His defense is lacking, but he is able to use his size and is smart about playing off of quicker guards and using angles to cover up speed and quickness disadvantages. Marshall has decent straight-line speed but not quickness.
19. Moe Harkless, St. John's Red Storm
Harkless is really talented and athletic. He has good rise and the ability to get to the rim going right, and he can rebound at a high rate. He was guarded mostly by interior players, which gave him a driving advantage, but he is good in transition and has the ability to be a really good and versatile defender. Harkless lacks physical strength and is not a shooter or handler, and he needs to be able to drive it to his left and finish, but he has a willingness to work and can improve those areas.
20. Andrew Nicholson, St. Bonaventure Bonnies
Nicholson has an NBA frame with length and strength, and he can rebound and score at a high rate. He is a very good offensive rebounder, can step away and hit a face-up jumper, and he blocks shots and can guard in the post. Nicholson also does a nice job on the block offensively and has really good feet and post moves. The masses may not know him, but Nicholson will be a very good NBA player.
21. Tony Wroten Jr., Washington Huskies
Wroten was the best passer coming out of high school last year and is a lefty with size and athleticism. He can get by people and bully his way into the lane, and he gets fouled at a very high rate and shoots a ton of free throws. Wroten can be a very good defender but is not one yet. He turns the ball over at a high rate because of questionable decisions, and he is a non-shooter, neither from deep nor from the free throw line. He can be a point with size, and he has great tools. I liken him to a bigger but very raw Rajon Rondo.
22. Marquis Teague, Kentucky
Teague was overshadowed by the super talent on his title team, but he is a very good point guard prospect. He has good size, length and athleticism for a point guard, and he has very good speed with the ball. Teague is not a shooter and has had some trouble with turnovers and adjusting to running a team. He can drive it and is very good in the open floor, and he is good off of ball screens and finishing at the goal. His challenge is to improve his decision-making in the half court.
23. Terrence Ross, Washington
Ross is an excellent shooter and athlete who is very good in catch-and-shoot situations and coming off of screens. He runs hard in transition, and Washington looked to him for shots and lobs after timeouts. He is a good defender on the ball but needs to improve off the ball. Ross is not a great handler and drives right to get to the rim and left to pull up.
24. Jeff Taylor, Vanderbilt Commodores
Taylor is an outstanding athlete who is a very versatile defender and has the ability to play in the open floor and get to the rim and finish. He is a vastly improved shooter and has become far more consistent. He still needs to improve his free throw shooting, but he has become a tougher player on both ends.
25. Fab Melo, Syracuse
Melo improved his mobility, his conditioning and his strength last season, and he was a reliable player who could change ends, challenge shots and has the ability to rebound (although he does not rebound at a high enough rate on the defensive end). Melo improved his free throw shooting and finishes around the rim, but he is not a naturally gifted offensive talent. He is raw and needs work, but he has good hands and has made some limited strides.
26. Royce White, Iowa State Cyclones
White has the tools to be outstanding at the pro level. He is versatile, big and really strong, and he has an uncanny knack for passing after getting by a defender and making a play off the bounce. With a 7-foot wingspan, he can rebound and has really good body balance to take contact and finish. White is not a shooter or (despite his steals) a consistent or willing defender, but he led Iowa State in scoring, rebounding, assists and steals. He has some questions regarding his anxiety disorder and some off-court issues, and all are legitimate questions. If, however, a team is satisfied those questions are answered, he could be a real theft late in the first round.
27. John Jenkins, Vanderbilt
Jenkins is the best shooter in this draft and gets his shots off of screens and relocations. He does not get his own shot and is neither a great handler nor defender. Jenkins has a specialized skill, and that is of a shooter. With a penetrating point and an interior threat, Jenkins can help spread the floor and knock down perimeter shots with consistency.
28. Quincy Miller, Baylor
At 6-10 with skills and talent, Miller has a lot of tools. He came off of a knee injury last season but showed his scoring instincts and midrange and face-up skills in having some extraordinary performances for a first-year player. Miller was not consistent, however, and did not always play with fire. He is versatile and lengthy with very good ball skills, midrange shooting and the length to be a decent defender. He is not a great athlete, needs to get much stronger and tougher and must improve his shooting range, but Miller has some ability and skills.
29. Draymond Green, Michigan State Spartans
Green is a classic "tweener," who has really long arms and tremendous heart and will. He can rebound, pass, face up and step away, and he can hit the college 3-point shot. Green is very good in the post and does the little things a team needs to win. He is not, however, an NBA athlete. I still believe he can play at the next level because of his ability to rebound, but guarding more athletic small forwards or bigger power forwards will be a challenge.
30. Evan Fournier, France
I have not seen Fournier in person, but he has physical tools, finishing ability, good feet and a very good skill level. Fran Fraschilla noted that Fournier is the best foreign prospect in this draft and was the best prospect at this year's Eurocamp. Fournier is very young and lacks strength, but he can help a team, if given the necessary time to develop.
